An Extended Kardashev Scale

Understandably, it’s not very detailed. But here we go:

A type 3 civilization is of another order of evolution altogether, probably taking 100,000 years or longer to get there. Kardashev saw it as “a civilization in possession of energy on the scale of its own galaxy”. […] … What’s next after such an advancement? Kardashev didn’t see a need to hypothesize any further civilizations, but prognosticators since then have proposed that a type 4 world would be able to harness the energy of an entire universe, while a type 5 can do the same in a multiverse, drawing power from multiple universes. […] What about type 6? We are talking god stuff here, controlling time and space, creating universes at will. Type 7? We can’t even imagine and understand what that could be like. …

(It’s hard to be confident about why Type 7 needed tacking on.)

Oil Glut

The New Economics of Oil:

The total stock of recoverable oil resources is assumed to be known and the main focus is on the optimal pace at which these resources should be exhausted. […] But in practice, estimates of recoverable oil resources are increasing all the time, as new discoveries are made and technology and understanding improves. And, importantly, they are increasing far more quickly than existing reserves are consumed. […] In very rough terms, over the past 35 years, the world has consumed around 1 trillion barrels of oil. Over that same period, proved reserves of oil have increased by more than 1 trillion barrels. […] Put differently, for every barrel of oil consumed, another two have been added.

… what has changed in recent years is the growing recognition that concerns about carbon emissions and climate change mean that it is increasingly unlikely that the world’s reserves of oil will ever be exhausted. […] Existing reserves of fossil fuels – ie oil, gas and coal – if used in their entirety would generate somewhere in excess of 2.8 trillion tonnes of CO2, well in excess of the 1 trillion tonnes or so the scientific community consider is consistent with limiting the rise in global mean temperatures to no more than 2 degrees Centigrade. And this takes no account of the new discoveries which are being made all the time or of the vast resources of fossil fuels not yet booked as reserves.
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Quick links (#24)

Neither freedom nor tolerance works (an Indian perspective). Not great for the Jews. Embarrassment at CENTCOM. The specter of deflation. Downside oil price doomism, but this should help (more, and more). ForEx chaos. Greece on the precipice. Closer, and a cigar.

Too much Bitcoin excitement to collect. Mysteries of the Silk Road (and Tor). Venture capital in the 1980s. Genecoin.

A wireless brain-computer interface. Anticipating the computer revolution (1970).

Elon Musk is increasingly out on the edge of everything (more).

Anthroturbation. How to catch a superluminal particle. Chinese IQ. When chemistry was outlawed (by the 1404 ‘Act Against Multiplication’ — they should have banned long division).

From left field: Burning, dwelling, thinking. Wikileaks, the book. Ragged promises of Internet liberation. There’s a politically correct excuse reason to read the “lurid tale of a lesbian nun sex gang”.

Naughtthought on Wolfendale.

Grimoires through the ages. (A sample: “The Red Dragon or Le Dragon Rouge is a black Grimoire, also known as a Grand Grimoire. First published in 1822, it is said to have been originally produced around 1522, however this cannot be substantiated. […] From a practical perspective its only value, if you can call it that, is a way of making a pact with the Devil (Lucifer). […] The first part of the Grimoire, gives instruction for finding hidden treasures by the evocation of an evil spirit. In the second part the magician is required to fully submit himself, body and soul, to the demon who will serve him!”)

The sound of dark matter.

Quick links (#18)

Foreign Policy / Tealeaf Nation China round-up. The price of Chinese social media. Chinese gold. More FTZs.

Lin Yutang on legalism (1930). Legalist influence in ancient India.

The Eurasian economic model, plus: Putin at Valdai. Sardinian sovereignty shopping.

Japan is scaring people.

Things fall apart.

Photos from Chang’e 5T1. A new space race for the Asian Century. Mars colonization in five steps. Jack Parsons coming to TV.

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Quick links (#17)

The animating tension between China’s Legalist and Confucian traditions remains unresolved (expect it to increasingly stimulate political philosophy worldwide during this century). William S. Lind on “the Chinese way.” Xi Jinping wants to calm the culture.

CY Leung is far too honest for his own good.

Confidence in the future is unevenly distributed.

Drought in China’s wheat belt.

Top near-term tech prospects, and the basic trend. Emerging arguments: “Where you come down on conflicts between owners and users is going to be one of the most meaningful ideological questions in technology’s history. There’s no easy answer that I know about for guiding these decisions.” Limits of VR. The oil roller-coaster. Fusion hype? Ultra-technologies.

Bitcoin and venture capital, crowdfunding, actuaries, and Asia. It’s on course to take over the Internet. (Some extra crypto stuff (+ ++ +++))

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